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« junho 2005 | Main | agosto 2005 » julho 15, 2005
Fica aqui o registro do encontro e a certeza de que outros deste tipo virão. 
julho 14, 2005 Na semana passada fui convidado pela agéncia de publicidade que cuida da conta do IE no Brasil a assistir a entrega do prémio Exame Maiores e Melhores. Grata surpresa ao ver que uma empresa do grupo CVRD ganhou o prémio. No discurso do presidente do grupo, Roger Agnelli, uma das principais razões para isso se devia a uma séria política de profissionalização da administração do grupo que está apostando em acordos com grandes escolas de administração mundiais e na contratação de MBA´s para a direção das empresas do grupo.
julho 12, 2005 Brasil ganha uma posição e é a 14ª economia do mundo CINGAPURA (Reuters) - O Brasil subiu de 15ª para 14ª maior economia do mundo em 2004. O país ficou Á frente de nações como Suécia, Suíça, Holanda e Rússia. As maiores economias do mundo são as de Estados Unidos, Japão e Alemanha. A Argentina aparece como a terceira maior economia latino-americana, no 35º lugar na tabela geral. Entre os países latino-americanos, o Brasil só perde para o México, que é o 12º colocado. Alguns outros exemplos das posições de latinos são Venezuela (38º posto da lista geral), ColÁ´mbia (43º), Chile (45º), Peru (52º) e Equador (63º). Segundo o Bird, em 2004, o Produto Interno Bruto (PIB) brasileiro era de cerca de US$ 605 bilhões, abaixo dos US$ 676 bilhões do México. O PIB da Argentina somou cerca de US$ 151 bilhões no ano passado e o da Venezuela, US$ 109 bilhões. Classificação mundial Os primeiros sete países da lista foram os mesmos de 2003. A Espanha superou o Canadá como oitava maior economia. As 20 maiores economias do mundo são Estados Unidos, Japão, Alemanha, Reino Unido, França, Itália, China, Espanha, Canadá, Ándia, Coréia do Sul, México, Austrália, Brasil, Rússia, Holanda, Suíça, Bélgica, Suécia e Turquia.
julho 05, 2005 Estamos num novo século, com um novo cenário. Muitos não perceberam ainda. Three Billion New Capitalists: Consider the Outsource Here's the story. In the golden age, 1950-73, we had it all -- low-cost manufacturing, rising wages, technological dominance, a highly educated and motivated work force, a trade surplus. Until 1971, our reserve currency was backed by gold, forcing us to be responsible. We had control over our economic destiny. Since then, bit by bit, we've lost much of our strength and are in danger of losing the rest. Our first problem is the surge in competitiveness on the part of the rest of the world, especially China and India, a trend Thomas L. Friedman analyzes in detail in ''The World Is Flat.'' Even if the playing field were level -- which it isn't -- we would not be able to compete with the combination of low-cost labor, talent and fire in the belly of these two behemoths. Our second problem is that we still think we're living in the golden age. In fact, we suffer from a misguided sense of superiority, profligate spending habits, a weak education system, mammoth debts, a ballooning trade deficit and a religious devotion to free-trade theories developed before the Industrial Revolution. Each of these issues could consume a book, but Prestowitz, president of the Economic Strategy Institute and a trade negotiator in the Reagan administration, packs them into one. The heart of the question, as he sees it, is that we are not defending the jewel in our economic crown -- our technology and manufacturing capabilities -- but are instead waxing poetic about the virtues of free trade while more practical countries walk off with our loot. This, he contends, will lead to the gutting of our economy, with well-paid skilled jobs replaced by low-paid menial ones, and an America in hock to the world's next economic leaders. Globalization, of course, is nothing new. The ''hollowing out'' debate hinges on whether the United States can replace the jobs it loses with equal or better ones. Capitalism is fueled by Schumpeter's creative destruction -- new forever displacing old -- and this country has thrived through transitions from agriculture to manufacturing to automation to outsourcing to services. Free-trade advocates argue that globalization is just the latest phase of a continuing evolution. Trade hawks like Prestowitz argue that now is different because of the sheer size of India and China and our inadequate response to the new situation. Globalization has always been a touchy subject (after all, Americans lose jobs when companies move production and services overseas) -- so touchy that most popular discussion of it is inflammatory or inane or both. Last year, John Kerry branded corporations and executives who send jobs offshore ''Benedict Arnold companies and C.E.O.'s,'' and a White House adviser, N. Gregory Mankiw, provoked many a storm by suggesting that offshoring was actually beneficial because, among other things, it lowers prices and makes labor available for new opportunities. Mankiw may have been impolitic, but Kerry was just pandering. If the choice is go offshore or go out of business, a chief executive doesn't have a choice. Prestowitz acknowledges that many companies can't survive today without offshoring, but argues that we often abandon industries we could continue to dominate and so lose the ability to lead the next wave of innovation. He lays the blame on government, not the private sector. ''Whether it recognizes the fact or not,'' he declares, ''the United States has a de facto economic strategy, and right now it is to send the country's most important industries overseas.'' He observes, moreover, that the benefits of offshoring go beyond cost: ''You do save money,'' a senior manager at the semiconductor equipment maker KLA-Tencor says about sending work to India. ''But pretty soon, you realize the work is getting done faster and better, and you start sending more and more of it. You also start sending more advanced work and then have to figure out what, if anything, you really don't want to send.'' The work is getting done faster and better, Prestowitz argues, because Indians are not only hungrier than we are, but better educated. China, India, Japan and Europe all churn out more science and engineering degrees than we do. Worse -- and downright embarrassing -- is the state of American education. Globally, our 12th-graders rank only in the 10th percentile in math (that's 10th percentile, not 10th). Our students also rank first in their assessment of their own performance: we're not only poorly prepared, we have delusions of grandeur. One common argument against the hollowing-out theory is that we can afford to lose jobs in low-tech manufacturing because we retain our high-tech design and manufacturing capabilities. Prestowitz counters that China's and India's incentives and resources are so compelling that the high-tech work is leaving, too. Another argument is that a revaluation of the yuan will curb imports and stimulate exports, thus repairing the trade deficit. In fact, Prestowitz asserts, our manufacturing capacity has been so gutted that we can't export our way out, even if the dollar's value drops to zero. The only path is to cut spending. But Prestowitz risks sounding like Chicken Little when he pronounces the globalization of today more than just another ''gale of creative destruction'' to which our economy will eventually adapt. Manufacturing has long been declining as a percentage of the United States economy, but the jobs lost have been more than offset by growth in services (in health care, financial services, law, retailing, and so on). Prestowitz points out that services are now being offshored, too, but not (yet) at a rate threatening our main growth industries. The McKinsey Global Institute, for example, reports that while 24 million Americans switch jobs each year, only 3 million jobs are estimated to go offshore by 2015. The critical question, still to be satisfactorily answered, is whether offshoring produces net economic gain or loss. Prestowitz deconstructs an oft-cited McKinsey study concluding that each $1 of spending sent offshore results in an overall gain in the gross domestic product of $1.12 to $1.14. He points out the study relies on data suggesting that 69 percent of displaced workers found jobs at an average of 97 percent of their former pay. This leaves 31 percent who didn't find new jobs. Not only that, ''if employers took McKinsey's advice to increase their offshoring,'' he says, the gain would quickly become a loss. In America's boom time, government-business cooperation was considered anathema to free-market principles -- ''Politicians shouldn't pick winners and losers!'' In Prestowitz's view, the laissez-faire trade theories of the 19th century have no place in 2005; since he holds that many of our successes have resulted from public-private collaboration, most of his proposals for maintaining American competitiveness boil down to government taking a more active role. Pay teachers more. Help workers move between jobs by offering wage insurance and portable health coverage. Reduce oil consumption by providing incentives for efficient cars (and include S.U.V.'s in mileage regulations). Tax spending, not saving. Help strategic industries with federal loan guarantees and grants. Call ''a new Bretton Woods Conference'' to set steps for reducing the role of the dollar in the world economy and so defuse the trade-deficit bomb. Whatever you think about offshoring, most of these ideas are no-brainers. The Great Shift of Wealth and Power to the East.
julho 01, 2005 Em parceria com os grupos de Alumni da Thurderbird e de Berkeley quero convidá-los ao seguinte encontro que ocorrerá na próxima segunda-feira dia 11 de Julho, na BOVESPA. Network Round up "Network Round up" é uma série de encontros mensais, cujos objetivos são: Incentivo de Projetos Sociais, Conhecimento e Networking. Os eventos são totalmente beneficentes. O produto deles é revertido integralmente para a Laramara â?? Associação Brasileira de Assisténcia ao Deficiente Visual. Palestrante:Eduardo Bom Á?ngelo: Presidente da Brasilprev Seguros e Previdéncia, Coordenador e Professor do Centro de Empreendedorismo do IBMEC, e um dos fundadores da ABQV - Associação Brasileira de Qualidade de Vida. Economista formado pela FEA-USP, Pós-graduado pela EAESP-FGV/SP e pela Wharton School of Business. Á? autor do livro Empreendedor Corporativo. Foi Presidente e Diretor Executivo de empresas como: CIGNA Previdéncia e Investimentos, Real Previdéncia, Pactual Previdéncia e Vera Cruz Seguradora. Foi também Economista Chefe do Grupo Bunge. Á? membro do Comité Coordenador do Projeto Reforma da Previdéncia, membro da Comissão de Assuntos Internacionais da SUSEP, Diretor da ANAPP, Conselheiro do Conselho Regional de Economia/SP, Conselheiro do Instituto Empreender Endeavor, Membro do Comité de Business Affairs (Presidentes) da AMCHAM e Professor da FIPECAFI/USP. Moderador: Marcos Haniu, Sócio Fundador da Authent Executive Search. Administrador de Empresas pela EAESP/FGV e Pós graduado pela Universidade de Niigata, Japão. Á? Chairman do Comité de RH da AMCHAM - Câmara Americana de Comércio de Campinas e Vice Presidente da Comissão de Assuntos Trabalhistas e de Gestão Empresarial da Câmara de Comércio e Indústria Japonesa do Brasil. Formato do Evento: Será um debate para discutir os desafios do país, das corporações e da carreira dos executivos, dentro da atual conjuntura econÁ´mica mundial e brasileira. Eduardo Bom Á?ngelo exporá suas experiéncias profissionais e sua visão sobre a realidade corporativa: gestão, cases e tendéncias. Seu background adquirido nas empresas que dirigiu, seu talento em desenvolver negócios de sucesso e seu reconhecimento no meio académico, fará com que este debate seja uma notável oportunidade de compartilhar uma variedade de idéias e temas com os participantes do evento. Agenda do evento: Toda a arrecadação deste evento será integralmente revertida para a ONG Laramara. RSPV: Carol Guilardi Vagas Limitadas.
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